The odds of human extinction,
“mother of all tail risks”
“mother of all tail risks”
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Robin WIGGLESWORTH
FT Alphaville
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Robin Wigglesworth is the Financial Times’s capital markets correspondent, focusing particularly on
countries in financial and economic distress. He joined the FT as a Gulf correspondent in June
2008, and covered the Arab Spring in Bahrain and Libya for the paper. Before
that he was a Nordic economics and politics correspondent for Bloomberg News.
He lives in north London with his partner and their irascible daughter.
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- 50 percent probability of death to mankind 2290 year and 95 percent that it will happen to 2710 year.
- Humanity with a high probability to live no more than 700 years.
This is stated in the report of the canadian company, BCA Research, specializing in investment research, RBC. Chief strategist Peter Berezin estimated at 50 percent probability of death to mankind 2290 year and 95 percent that it will happen to 2710 year. He notes that the emergence of intelligent life on Earth itself was a rare event among the 400 billion galaxies in the observable Universe we have not found other life. Berezin refers to the concept of a “Great filter” of the American scientist Robert Henson, which implies a high probability of destruction of humanity at the stage of advanced technological development.
- Humanity with a high probability to live no more than 700 years.
This is stated in the report of the canadian company, BCA Research, specializing in investment research, RBC. Chief strategist Peter Berezin estimated at 50 percent probability of death to mankind 2290 year and 95 percent that it will happen to 2710 year. He notes that the emergence of intelligent life on Earth itself was a rare event among the 400 billion galaxies in the observable Universe we have not found other life. Berezin refers to the concept of a “Great filter” of the American scientist Robert Henson, which implies a high probability of destruction of humanity at the stage of advanced technological development.
